Not very – according to the data from analysts at Opta, who predict that it is highly unlikely that United will finish in the bottom three of the Premier League table.
Opta’s current projections – calculated using thousands of season simulations – give United a 0.1% chance of finishing 18th in the Premier League table, with a 0% chance of finishing in the bottom two.
In fact, United are rated more likely to finish in fifth (1.3%) than they are to finish in the bottom three of the table.
According to Opta, their most likely final position is 12th place (15.1%), followed by 13th (13.9%) and 11th (12.6%).
Amorim’s side are projected to finish with 50 points – far from what they are looking for, but also far removed from serious peril.
