The Bank of England is likely to keep the base rate at five per cent in a blow to borrowers, economists claim.
This comes after the central bank delivered a “clear message” it would not cut interest rates too quickly.
Most economists are preparing for rates to remain the same when the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets today.
In August, the Bank of England’s MPC narrowly voted to reduce the base rate from a 16-year high of 5.25 per cent.
At the time, Governor Andrew Bailey cited the financial institution was able to do so because inflationary pressures had “eased enough”.
Despite this, Bailey emphasised that committee members “need to be careful not to cut interest rates too quickly or by too much”.
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In August, the Bank’s MPC voted to slash interest rates
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Over the last two years, interest rates have been raised in an attempt to ease the UK’s soaring inflation rate.
In October 2022, the consumer price index (CPI) rate skyrocketed to 11.1 per cent.
This led to the interest attached to mortgage and debt repayments increasing dramatically.
In recent months, inflation has fallen to around the Bank’s target of two per cent which led to the central bank slashing rates in August.
Earlier this week, figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the CPI rate for the 12 months to August remained unchanged at 2.2 per cent.
Sanjay Raja, the chief UK economist for Deutsche Bank, noted that the latest inflation figures are not that the inflation figures “won’t be enough to trigger a surprise rate cut” today.
“Instead, the MPC will likely take this as a positive sign that underlying price pressures are easing, and could warrant a further dial down of restrictive policy in November, when it conducts its next forecast update,” he explained.
Alastair Douglas, the CEO of TotallyMoney, warned that inflation will likely continue to be an issue for Britons in the months ahead.
Douglas shared: “Inflation is proving to be stubbornly persistent.
“While the Bank of England and the previous Government celebrated their success of halving it by last Christmas — it’s not halved again since, which means it remains above the two per cent target, and is expected to increase before the New Year.”
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Other central banks have proved to be more aggressive with interest rate reductions recently.
Last week, the European Central Bank slashed rates for the second time in 2024 despite concerns about the German economy.
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve confirmed US base rate has been slashed by 50 basis points.
The Bank of England’s next MPC meeting is on November 7, 2025.
